Is Miami's Population Actually Shrinking? Is The City In Trouble? Not So Fast The Numbers Say...

Last week headlines from news outlets such as the The Wall Street Journal, the Miami Herald and The New York Times rang out that Miami was in trouble and the population was shrinking fast. The articles closely followed a debacle at Business Insider after the outlet published an article claiming that in 2021 more people had moved out of Florida than either New York or California; but, Business Insider later had to retract and correct the story after one of their writers had mistakenly flipped around the numbers and published with the article without double checking. Numerous press outlets and their writers have been fast to attack all aspects of Florida from its politics to its people, climate and even lifestyle.

The recent flurry of articles targeting The City of Miami and Miami-Dade County’s population loss cite US Census Data, citing 79,535 residents moved out of Miami in from 2020 to 2022 and were compiled using a report from Brooking Institute. The report compiles 38 counties with over 500K in population. The report shows that The City of Miami and Miami-Dade County only lost population during the peak of the COVID-19 Pandemic, from July 2020 to July 2021. With same data set after peak the peak Covid-19 Pandemic year, both Miami-Dade and Miami returned to population gain, while New York and Los Angeles did not. Miami-Dade was one of 11 counties of which returned to population growth that year, from 2021 to 2022. The drop in population was contributed to by closed boarders and other factors caused by the pandemic, but the numbers fail to show the claimed multi-year population drop that has consistently been headlined.

One of the targets of the articles was Miami’s real estate market, in which rising prices have driven some residents to look for cheaper housing elsewhere, while local housing is absorbed by high-income earners moving into Miami. IRS data shows that during 2020 to 2021 shows 45,430 people moved into Miami-Dade County, up 15% from the level in 2020, 39,562 people, and up 20% from the level in 2019, which was 37,630. According to a report by Miami REALTORS using IRS data, households that moved into Miami-Dade rose by $10.4 billion in adjusted gross income, which was up 131% from 2020, where the number was just $4.5 billion. During this period households that moved out of Miami had an adjusted gross income of $3.9 billion, for a $6.4 billion gain.

These new high earning residents have driven rent prices up well over pre-pandemic pricing despite the boost in new inventory coming online. Miami ranks 7th in the nation for housing shortages, reflected by its job growth-to-building permits ratio of 20.2. The data shows that the growth of the job market is outpacing the construction of new housing units. As a result, the limited housing supply leads to increased housing costs and affordability challenges for residents. While there may not be the same mad scramble for real estate as in 2021, Zumper data shows that the average rent in Miami for a 1-bedroom apartment in August 2023 is $2,763, an 8% increase over the previous year. The average rent for a 2-bedroom apartment in Miami is $3,800, an a 11% increase over to the previous year.

While Miami’s resident population number may fluctuate as the city grows, one number has shown Miami-Dade County’s strength on a global scale. Data from The Greater Miami Convention and Visitors Bureau showed that in 2022 over 26.5 million visitors came to Miami-Dade County, resulting in $20.8 billion in tourism revenue, up 8% from 2021. Nights booked at hotels were up 12.7% during that period where gross hotel revenue grew by 29% and occupancy up 8%.

The conclusion shows that while The City of Miami and Miami-Dade County's population may fluctuate, especially as the city and county continue to grow and add new jobs and infrastructure, the population is still on the rise and showing positive velocity while high-income earners are moving into the city and driving its growing economy. Miami-Dade County has grown into a global leader for finance and tourism as a new wave of commercial development continues to activate the city. The City of Miami and Miami-Dade County are global hotspots for business, travel and migration, not showing the signs of a troubled metro-area.

Sources:

[1] Wall Street Journal - “Miami Sees Its First Population Drop in Decades”

[2] Fox News - Business Insider corrects story claiming mass migration out of Florida after backlash: 'We got it wrong'

[3] Brookings Institute - Pandemic-driven population declines in large urban areas are slowing or reversing, latest census data shows

[4] United States Census Bureau - Growth in the Nation’s Largest Counties Rebounds in 2022

[5] Analytics.Miami - https://www.instagram.com/reel/CvssQQqtsdN/?igshid=MzRlODBiNWFlZA==

[6] SOI Tax Stats – Migration Data | Internal Revenue Service (irs.gov) SOI Tax Stats – Migration Data | Internal Revenue Service (irs.gov)

[7] Miami REALTORS - “In-Migration Boosted South Florida Household Income by $16 Billion in 2021”

[8] Zumper - https://www.zumper.com/rent-research/miami-fl

[9] The Greater Miami Convention and Visitors Bureau

Magic City Tech Boom? Microsoft In Negotiations At 830 Brickell And Elon Musk Wants To Build Tunnels Under Miami

Miami, the magic city, is on track to become the next Silicon Valley as the fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic has brought people flocking to South Florida. Florida saw the second highest population growth over any other state in 2020, following Texas, adding over 240,000 new residents in a single year. The influx of new residents is being driven by those looking to take advantage of remote-working opportunities or seek a state that has let business remain open and has pro-business tax structure. This has led to Miami and Palm Beach real estate pricing and absorption reaching near record highs.

Not only are the new residents flocking from the high-tax New York, at the same time as South Florida’s population boom, the San Francisco Bay Area has seen an exodus of venture capitalists and tech entrepreneurs. Mayor Francis Suarez has opened up the city to tech entrepreneurs and has expressed interest in bringing innovative companies to the magic city and making Miami a global tech hub. Mayor Suarez recently announced he will be appointing a Chief Technology Officer for the city.

Miami’s office market is being a surge in demand and setting record high pricing. Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) is one of the major tech firms looking to move to Miami, the multinational software provider is actively in negotiations to lease 30,000 square feet of space at OKO Group’s 830 Brickell, a 56-story office tower adjacent to Brickell City Centre which is currently under construction. Pricing is still relatively cheap compared to other major markets, asking rates at 830 Brickell are reportedly in the $70’s PSF range. Ken Griffin’s Citadel Securities hedge fund is also reportedly looking at office space in 830 Brickell as is the Chicago-based law firm Baker McKenzie.

The biggest news came when Tesla and SpaceX founder Elon Musk tweeted that he had talked with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis about building a tunnel system underneath Miami to eliminate traffic and pollution. Mayor Suarez tweed that “we will do it,” and invited Musk to visit him at City Hall. In the past Miami has had success building tunnels at a comparatively low cost. The initiative would be led by Elon Musk’s Boring Company, who is getting ready to reveal the Vegas Loop to the public, a 4,475’ tunnel loop under the Las Vegas Convention Center. In the Las Vegas Loop passengers will reach speeds up to 155 mph and will ride in Tesla Model X’s, Model 3’s, and a 16-passenger modified Model 3. Las Vegas in now working with the Boring Company to build a citywide network of tunnels.

For more information about 830 Brickell, Brickell office space, private showings or purchasing/ leasing information please fill out the form below:

Douglas Elliman Releases Q3 2020 Florida Regions Market Reports For South Florida

Douglas Elliman has just released their Q3 2020 Market Reports for Florida regions, which were prepared in conjunction with Jonathan Miller of Miller Samuel INC. The reports revealed that sales rose sharply higher year over year, rebounding quickly from the restraint of spring market activity at the onset of the COVID-19 crisis. Palm Beach has been one of the hottest markets in the United States as flight capital continues to pour in from the high-tax states such as New York and Connecticut. All three condo price trend indicators increased year over year for the fifth straight quarter in Palm Beach while single family sales nearly tripled from the year-ago quarter as listing inventory fell sharply. Coral Gables and Miami Beach also surged as sales and prices saw 5 year highs across much of South Florida.

BOCA RATON/HIGHLAND BEACH

Overview:

• In a rebound from the prior quarter, condo and single family sales saw their largest annual rise in seven years

• All single family price trend indicators rose year over year as sales saw its largest jump in nearly nine years

• All luxury condo price trend indicators showed a substantial year over year increase

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Luxury Condo:

• Median sales price rose 28.6% to $868,000

• Average price per square foot increased by 12.2% to $414

• Number of sales rose 14.3% to 88

• Listing inventory declined by 1.5% to 405 units

Luxury Single Family:

• Median sales price rose 14.3% to $2,550,000

• Average price per square foot increased by 4.5% to $421

• Number of sales rose 25.4% to 89

• Listing inventory declined by 22% to 266 units

MIAMI BEACH/BARRIER ISLANDS

Overview:

• Condo price trend indicators increased as sales and listing inventory edged higher

• Overall single family price trend indicators set new records as sales surged year over year

• Luxury condo price trend indicators jumped year over year, aided by a shift to larger sized sales

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Luxury Condo:

• Median sales price rose 29.3% to $2,975,000

• Average price per square foot increased by 18.9% to $1,262

• Number of sales remained flat at 77

• Listing inventory declined by 15.1% to 993 units

Luxury Single Family:

• Median sales price rose 13.9% to $14,806,950

• Average price per square foot increased by 12% to $1,787

• Number of sales rose 63.6% to 18

• Listing inventory declined by 27.1% to 102 units

MIAMI COASTAL MAINLAND

Overview:

• Condo price trend indicators and sales moved higher as listing inventory slipped to a three-year low

• Single family price trend indicators set new records as sales rose to their highest level in more than five years

• Luxury condo price trend indicators increased year over year as listing inventory declined annually for the second time in three quarters 

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Luxury Condo:

• Median sales price rose 9.9% to $852,500

• Average price per square foot increased by 6.9% to $508

• Number of sales rose 1% to 200

• Listing inventory declined by 15.1% to 2,398 units

Luxury Single Family:

• Median sales price rose 31.1% to $1,940,000

• Average price per square foot increased by 29.3% to $600

• Number of sales rose 9.5% to 230

• Listing inventory declined by 32.1% to 694 units

CORAL GABLES

Overview:

• Single family sales surged and listing inventory fell from the prior year quarter as the lockdown ended

• Condo listing inventory declined annually for the fifth consecutive quarter

• Luxury single family listing inventory declined sharply year over year for five straight quarters

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Luxury Condo:

• Median sales price fell 41.4% to $962,500

• Average price per square foot decreased by 28.7% to $407

• Number of sales slipped 11.1% to 8

• Listing inventory inclined by 125% to 72 units

Luxury Single Family:

• Median sales price rose 26.9% to $4,500,000

• Average price per square foot decreased by 6.4% to $989

• Number of sales rose 53.3% to 23

• Listing inventory declined by 21.1% to 101

DELRAY BEACH

Overview:

•  Single family sales increased at their highest year over year rate in five years

• Condo sales reached their highest third-quarter total in twenty-two years of tracking

• Both single family and condo luxury listing inventory fell sharply from the prior year total

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Luxury Condo:

• Median sales price rose 41.1% to $604,500

• Average price per square foot increased by 21.4% to $409

• Number of sales rose 14.3% to 72

• Listing inventory declined by 25.2% to 169 units

Luxury Single Family:

• Median sales price rose 40.8% to $2,500,000

• Average price per square foot increased by 5.7% to $515

• Number of sales rose 22.9% to 43

• Listing inventory declined by 45.6% to 99 units

FORT LAUDERDALE

Overview:

•  All condo price trend indicators rose year over year as the number of sales jumped 

• Single family sales surged, and listing inventory fell sharply from the prior-year quarter

• Single family median sales price increased annually for the eighth consecutive quarter

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Luxury Condo:

• Median sales price rose 0.9% to $1,155,000

• Average price per square foot increased by 1.4% to $509

• Number of sales rose 7.8% to 55

• Listing inventory declined by 0.5% to 379 units

Luxury Single Family:

• Median sales price rose 7.7% to $2,275,000

• Average price per square foot remained flat at $580

• Number of sales rose 17.6% to 60

• Listing inventory declined by 21.5% to 256 units

JUPITER/PALM BEACH GARDENS

Jupiter Overview:

•  Single family sales jumped year over year as listing inventory dropped sharply

• The most third-quarter condo sales in fifteen years

Palm Beach Gardens Overview:

• The most third quarter single family sales in fifteen years

• Condo listing inventory declined annually for the sixth straight quarter

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Luxury Condo:

• Median sales price fell 7.1% to $657,500

• Average price per square foot decreased by 16.4% to $320

• Number of sales rose 27.3% to 28

• Listing inventory inclined by 26.3% to 72 units

Luxury Single Family:

• Median sales price rose 121% to $3,550,000

• Average price per square foot increased by 37% to $678

• Number of sales rose 14.7% to 39

• Listing inventory declined by 38.7% to 76 units

PALM BEACH

Overview:

• All three condo price trend indicators increased year over year for the fifth straight quarter

• Single family sales nearly tripled from the year-ago quarter as listing inventory fell sharply

• Luxury listing inventory fell significantly year over year for the third consecutive quarter 

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Luxury Condo + Single Family:

• Median sales price declined 39.3% to $10,000,000

• Average price per square foot increased by 20% to $1,906

• Number of sales rose 87.5% to 15

• Listing inventory declined by 65.3% to 26 units

WELLINGTON

Overview:

• Condo sales surged annually at their highest rate in eleven years as listing inventory edged higher for the second straight quarter

• Single family median sales price rose annually for the twelfth straight quarter as listing inventory dropped sharply

• Luxury condo median sales price more than doubled year over year as listing inventory saw a significant annual decline  

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Luxury Condo:

• Median sales price rose 102.4% to $840,000

• Average price per square foot increased by 61.1% to $427

• Number of sales rose 28.6% to 9

• Listing inventory declined by 42.1% to 22 units

Luxury Single Family:

• Median sales price rose 28.1% to $1.825,000

• Average price per square foot increased by 13.1% to $553

• Number of sales rose 20.7% to 35

• Listing inventory declined by 9.3% to 194 units

WEST PALM BEACH

Overview:

• Condo median sales price has risen each quarter on a year over year for more than nine years

• Single family listing inventory has fallen at a rising year over year rate for five consecutive quarters

• Luxury condo listing inventory has posted large annual gains for three of the past four quarters

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Luxury Condo:

• Median sales price declined 49.1% to $407,500

• Average price per square foot decreased by 62% to $452

• Number of sales rose 7.5% to 72

• Listing inventory inclined by 85.5% to 308 units

Luxury Single Family:

• Median sales price rose 48.7% to $1,297,250

• Average price per square foot increased by 32.1% to $412

• Number of sales rose 28% to 64

• Listing inventory declined by 14.3% to 132 units

Douglas Elliman Releases Q2 2020 South Florida Market Reports

Douglas Elliman has just released their Q2 2020 Market Reports for South Florida, which were prepared by Miller Samuel, a leading independent appraisal firm. The reports, which cover the areas such as Boca Raton, Delray Beach, Fort Lauderdale, Miami Beach, and the Miami Coastal Mainland, have revealed that the COVID-19 market shutdown during much of the second quarter caused sales to fall sharply in South Florida, despite the strength of the market in the first quarter.

Miami Beach/Barrier Islands

Overview:

• Condo price trend indicators moved higher as the number of sales dropped during the shutdown

• Single-family price trend indicators continued to decline along with sales and listing inventory year over year

• Luxury condo price trend indicators pressed higher as listing inventory showed a slight gain

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Overall:

• Median sales price rose 10.3% to $480,000

• Average price per square foot edged up 6.1% to $659

• Number of sales dropped 34.9% to 501 

• Listing inventory decreased by 0.5% to 6,393 units

Luxury Condo:

• Median sales price increased by 11.6% to $2,850,000

• Average price per square foot rose 4.8% to $1,231

• Number of sales fell 37.7% to 43

• Listing inventory slipped 3.0% to 1,095 units

Luxury Single Family: 

• Median sales price decreased by 22.6% to $7,200,000

• Average price per square foot jumped 17.2% to $1,388

• Number of sales had no change at 9 

• Listing inventory increased by 25.4% to 173 units

Miami Coastal Mainland

Overview:

• Condo listing inventory and number of sales declined, median sales price reached a new record

• Single-family median sales price rose to a new record as both sales and listing inventory fell sharply

• Luxury condo price trend indicators showed mixed results as the number of sales saw a significant decline 

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Overall:

• Median sales price rose 4.4% to $355,000

• Average price per square foot increased by 5.1% to $289

• Number of sales dropped 20.1% to 2,672

• Listing inventory declined by 7.8% to 9,699 units 

Luxury Condo:

• Median sales price fell 14.0% to $805,000

• Average price per square foot dropped 0.6% to $489

• Number of sales declined by 33.5% to 115

• Listing inventory increased by 13.4% to 2,508 units

Luxury Single Family:

• Median sales price fell 11.9% to $1,410,000

• Average price per square foot rose 25.5% to $557

• Number of sales decreased by 6.1% to 153

• Listing inventory dropped 1.1% to 915 units

Fort Lauderdale

Overview:

• Condo sales dropped at the highest rate in more than thirteen years as all price trend indicators rose annually

• Single-family sales fell at the largest rate since 2007 as median sales price stabilized

• Luxury condo price trend indicators increased above year-ago levels at their most robust rate in six quarters

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Luxury Condo:

• Median sales price rose 6.0% to $1,282,330

• Average price per square foot increased by 5.2% to $587

• Number of sales slipped 27.5% to 37

• Listing inventory declined by 16.5% to 283 units

Luxury Single Family:

• Median sales price dropped 22.5% to $2,500,000

• Average price per square foot decreased by 23.9% to $596

• Number of sales fell 20.5% to 35 

• Listing inventory declined by 12.5% to 259 units

Boca Raton/Highland Beach

Overall:

• Condo sales declined year over year at its highest rate in 13 years as median sales price increased

• Single-family sales declined year over year at its highest rate in 13 years as median sales price surged

• Luxury condo median sales price declined while luxury single-family median sales price rose

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Luxury Condo:

• Median sales price fell 23.0% to $885,000

• Average price per square foot slipped 13.0% to $461

• Number of sales declined by 21.2% to 52

• Listing inventory surged 11.2% to 328 

Luxury Single Family:

• Median sales price dropped 13.1% to $2,215,000

• Average price per square foot decreased by 12.6% to $382 

• Number of sales slipped 12.1% to 51

• Listing inventory declined by 0.3% to 304 units

Delray Beach 

Overview:

• Single-family sales declined at the largest year over year rate in over thirteen years as the market paused

• Condo median sales price was unchanged year over year, the eighteenth straight quarter without a decline

• Luxury single-family listing inventory declined annually as luxury condo listing inventory saw a large gain

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Luxury Condo:

• Median sales price decreased by 6.7% to $810,500

• Average price per square foot rose 6.7% to $445

• Number of sales slipped 24.6% to 46

• Listing inventory surged 20.9% to 208 units

Luxury Single Family: 

• Median sales price dropped 0.6% to $2,087,500

• Average price per square foot fell 13.7% to $504

• Number of sales declined by 15.2% to 28

• Listing inventory increased by 5.7% to 130

Wellington

Overview:

• Condo sales declined sharply as median sales price increased year over year for the fifteenth straight quarter

• Single-family listing inventory and sales showed sharp declines from prior year levels

• Luxury listing inventory across both property types jumped from prior year

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Luxury Condo: 

• Median sales price fell 19.9% to $585,000

• Average price per square foot dropped 10.1% to $313

• Number of sales increased by 16.7% to 7

• Listing inventory rose 72.2% to 62 units

Luxury Single Family:

• Median sales price declined 24.3% to $1,135,000

• Average price per square foot slipped 34.9% to $426

• Number of sales jumped 15.0% to 23

• Listing inventory increased by 9.2% to 226 units

Palm Beach

Overview:

• Condo price trend indicators jumped as the largest average sales size in two years skewed them higher

• Single-family listing inventory fell by the largest rate in seven years of tracking

• Luxury listing inventory showed a substantial drop as price trend indicators surged year over year 

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Luxury Condo and Single Family:

• Median sales price surged 33.1% to $14,000,000

• Average price per square foot rose 18.4% to $2,180

• Number of sales dropped 30.8% to 9

• Listing inventory declined by 65.6% to 22 units 

Jupiter/Palm Beach Gardens

Jupiter Overview:

• Single-family sales price trend indicators and sales continued to show substantial year over year growth

• Condo price trend indicators rose year over year for the fourth straight quarter

Palm Beach Gardens Overview:

• Single-family sales fell at their most significant rate in fourteen years

• Condo price trend indicators rose year over year for the third consecutive quarter

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Jupiter Luxury Condo:

• Median sales price decreased by 19.9% to $733,000

• Average price per square foot dropped 10.6% to $404

• Number of sales fell 13.6% to 19

• Listing inventory increased by 16.7% to 63 units

Jupiter Luxury Single Family:

• Median sales price declined by 11.5% to $2,300,000

• Average price per square foot decreased by 2.9% to $647

• Number of sales fell 7.4% to 25

• Listing inventory dropped 15.3% to 111 units

Palm Beach Gardens Luxury Condo:

• Median sales price fell 26.7% to $440,000

• Average price per square foot dropped 24.1% to $239

• Number of sales declined by 19.0% to 17

• Listing inventory surged 67.4% to 72 units

Palm Beach Gardens Luxury Single Family:

• Median sales price jumped 21.2% to $2,347,500

• Average price per square foot rose 8.7% to $501

• Number of sales decreased by 23.1% to 20

• Listing inventory dropped 27.5% to 95 units

By Isabella Zimmermann 

Douglas Elliman Releases June 2020 New Signed Contracts Report for Florida

Douglas Elliman in conjunction with Miller Samuel, a leading independent appraisal firm, has released its second monthly recurring report for June 2020. The report focuses on the new contracts signed and new listings that entered the rapidly changing market in Douglas Elliman’s Florida regions of Miami-Dade, Broward, Palm Beach, Pinellas, and Hillsborough. Overall, there was a surge in new signed contracts far exceeding year-ago levels, with excess demand coming from the Northeast. However, new inventory level gains have not kept pace with the growth in new contracts.

New contracts and new listings for each property type have been broken out by eight price tranches depending on regional pricing, on a year to year basis. Douglas Elliman will release a similar report to this one once again during the first week of August to disclose data regarding the number of new contracts signed and new listings during the month of July.

Palm Beach County

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Single Family:

• Number of new signed contracts soared 71.3% to 4,261 contracts

• Listing inventory dropped 19.9% to 1,604 units

• 642 single family homes priced above $1M went into contract, a 114.7% increase from last year

Condo:

• Number of new signed contracts jumped 76.0% to 2,626 contracts

• Listing inventory surged 4.2% to 1,175 units

• Condos priced between $200K and $299K saw a 107.6% incline in the number of signed contracts for a total of 467 

Broward County

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Single Family:

• Number of new signed contracts rose 76.1% to 4,336 contracts

• Listing inventory decreased by 27.0% to 1,622 units

• There was a 123.2% increase in the number of signed contracts for homes priced between $600K and $799K 

Condo:

• Number of new signed contracts surged 61.4% to 3,154 contracts

• Listing inventory fell 14.2% to 1,403 units

• 78 condos priced between $500K and $599K went into contract, a 116.7% jump from last year

Miami-Dade County

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Single Family:

• Number of new signed contracts edged up 74.3% to 3,955 contracts

• Listing inventory dropped 25.0% to 1,426 units

• There were 172 homes priced between $800K and $99K that went into contract, a 123.4% increase from last year for similarly priced homes

Condo:

• Number of new signed contracts climbed 54.6% to 4,093 contracts

• Listing inventory slipped 4.0% to 1,918 units

• 643 condos priced between $200K and $299K went into contract compared to last year’s 344

Pinellas County

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Single Family:

• Number of new signed contracts surged 95.9% to 2,897 contracts

•  Listing inventory decreased by 26.9% to 1,031 units

• There was a 148.8% rise in homes priced between $500K and $599K that went into contract

Condo:

• Number of new signed contracts increased by 93.4% to 1,408 contracts

• Listing inventory fell 12.0% to 512 units

• 28 condos priced between $800K and $999K went into contract, a 250.0% surge from last year’s 8

Hillsborough County

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Single Family: 

• Number of new signed contracts rose 98.2% to 4,524 contracts

• Listing inventory declined 32.1% to 1,550 units

• There was a 223.9% jump in the number of new signed contracts for homes priced at or above $1M

Condo:

• Number of new signed contracts grew 124.0% to 616 contracts

• Listing inventory declined 18.9% to 223 units

• Condos priced at or above $1M saw a drastic increase of 1633.3% in the number of new signed contracts for a total of 52

by Isabella Zimmermann

Douglas Elliman Releases May 2020 New Signed Contracts Report for Florida

Douglas Elliman in conjunction with Miller Samuel, a leading independent appraisal firm, has just released its May 2020 New Signed Contracts Report, which reveals that the number of newly signed contracts across property types in Florida was at a high last month, despite there being lower levels of new listing inventory coming online. The Florida report includes the five counties of Miami-Dade, Broward, Palm Beach, Pinellas, and Hillsborough, focusing on the new contracts signed and new listings that entered the Florida Market during the entire month. The regions are broken up by two property types: single family and condo, as well as county, borough, or area. New contracts and new listings for each property type have been broken out by eight price tranches depending on regional pricing, on a year to year basis. Douglas Elliman will be producing a monthly recurring report similar to this one during the first week of each month to cover the prior month’s number of new contracts signed and new listings to provide a data-driven picture of the rapidly changing market.

Palm Beach County

Overview:

• Despite lower levels of new listing inventory coming online, the number of new signed contracts across property types pressed higher

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Single Family:

• Number of new signed contracts for homes jumped 27.7% to 3,444 contracts 

• Listing inventory dropped 37.9% to 1,381 units

• There was a 49.3% decline in the number of new listings for homes priced below $200K

Condo: 

• Number of new signed contracts for condos increased by 16.6% to 2,033 contracts

• Listing inventory declined 28.7% to 906 units

• 111 condos priced above $1M went into contract, a 40.5% increase from the number of condos that went into contract in May 2019

Broward County

Overview: 

• There was a larger rise in overall single family new signed contracts than for overall condo new signed contracts

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Single Family:

• Number of new signed contracts rose 33.4% to 3,499 contracts

• Listing inventory slipped 42.3% to 1,389 units

• Listing inventory dropped by 66.4% for homes priced below $200K to 48 units

Condo:

• Number of new signed contracts increased by 19.2% to 2,491 contracts

• Listing inventory dropped 35.1% to 1,108 units 

• 89 condos priced at or above $1M went into contract, a 50.8% increase from last year  

Miami-Dade County

Overview:

• Despite the significant drop in single family and condo new listings during the spring, a noticeable uptick began in May

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Single Family:

• Number of new signed contracts rose 36.2% to 3,284 contracts

• Listing inventory declined 40.7% to 1,232 units

• Listing inventory for homes priced below $200K saw a 60.6% decline

Condo:

• Number of new signed contracts edged up 4.1% to 3,058 contracts

• Listing inventory dropped 42.6% to 1,386 units

• There were 91 new listings for condos priced between $600K to $799K, a 52.4% drop from last year’s 191 new listings for similarly priced condos  

Pinellas County

Overview:

• Along with the atypical drop in new listings introduced to the market this spring, new contract signings surged for both single families and condos

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Single Family:

• Number of new signed contracts surged 45.3% to 2,519 contracts

• Listing inventory decreased by 33.4% to 974 units

• Homes priced at or above $1M saw a 100.0% surge in the number of new signed contracts for a total of 132

Condo:

• Number of new signed contracts rose 32.3% to 1,143 contracts

• Listing inventory fell 34.9% to 443 units

• 25 condos priced between $800K to $999K went into contract, a 108.3% increase from last year

Hillsborough County

Overview:

• There was a significant surge in new signed contracts for both single family and condo properties as listing inventory remained slow to enter the spring market

Key Metrics (Year to Year)

Single Family:

• Number of new signed contracts increased by 66.6% to 4,266 contracts

• Listing inventory slipped 37.5% to 1,594 units 

• 200 homes priced between $600K to $799K went into contract, a jump of 124.7% from last year 

Condo: 

• Number of new signed contracts rose 53.2% to 521 contracts

• Listing inventory fell 25.0% to 216 units

• There was a 425.0% rise in homes priced at or above $1M that went into contract

By Isabella Zimmermann

Douglas Elliman Releases Q1 2020 South Florida Market Reports

Douglas Elliman in conjunction with Miller Samuel, a leading independent appraisal firm, has just released their Q1 2020 Market Reports for South Florida. It reveals noticeably stronger results for listing inventory growth in the first two and a half months of the quarter until market awareness of COVID-19 occurred in mid-March, which slowed growth across South Florida in areas such as Boca Raton, Delray Beach, Fort Lauderdale, Miami Beach, and the Miami Coastal Mainland. The report reflects pre-pandemic strengths in the South Florida market and even an increase in some areas’ average sales price and number of sales compared to the previous quarter, especially in Palm Beach, which saw a 46.7% rise in number of closed condo sales and had the most significant year over year increase in single-family sales in six years.

“The same fundamentals that have made Florida attractive, and have supported the relatively long-term stability in our markets over the past few years, all remained in place during the first quarter as much as they will once we get past this pandemic. Overall Q1 reflected the pre-pandemic strengths we have been enjoying, with most markets realizing steady sales volume and pricing. As we come out of this global crisis, I believe that the desirability for Florida’s lifestyle coupled with tax reform, and the maturation of our markets, will continue to support the trajectory the markets were on prior to COVID-19,” said Jay Phillip Parker, CEO of Douglas Elliman Florida brokerage.

Miami Beach/Barrier Islands

Overview:

·      Overall listing inventory declined year over year for condos and single-family properties

·      Condo price trend indicators declined from the year-ago quarter

·      Single-family price trend indicators declined annually, partially skewed by the decline in average sales size

·      A sharp drop in average sales size for both luxury condos and luxury single-family properties skewed price trend indicators lower

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Overall:

·      Median sales price slipped 1.1% to $435,000

·      Average price per square foot decreased by 12.4% to $621

·      Number of sales slipped by 0.4% to 769

·      Listing inventory decreased by 4.5% to 6,425 

Luxury Condo:

·      Median sales price fell 20.8% to $2,553,000

·      Average price per square foot decreased by 9.5% to $1,175

·      Listing inventory rose 12.2% to 1,129 units

·      Average square footage declined 13.8% to 3,429

Luxury Single Family:

·      Median sales price fell 32.9% to $9,766,667

·      Average price per square foot decreased by 22.3% to $1,184

·      Listing inventory dropped 19.1% to 169 units

·      Average square footage declined 13.6% to 8,249

Miami Coastal Mainland

Overview: 

·      Overall listing inventory declined sharply on a year over year basis for both condos and single-family properties

·      Condo sales rose annually for the fourth straight quarter as price trend indicators pressed higher

·      Single-family price trend indicators rose annually, and sales extended its year over year growth streak to the fourth straight quarter

·      A significant decline in listing inventory on a year over year basis for both luxury condos and luxury single-family properties

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Overall: 

·      Median sales price rose 9% to $340,000

·      Average sales price increased by 7.6% to $458,287

·      Number of sales rose 7.7% to 3,343

·      Listing inventory fell 14.1% to 10,519 units

Luxury Condo

·      Median sales price increased by 20% to $1,195,545

·      Average price per square foot rose 5.1% to $492

·      Listing inventory declined 19.8% to 2,212 units

·      Average square footage increased by 12.9% to 2,430

Luxury Single Family

·      Median sales price rose 13.7% to $1,600,000

·      Average price per square foot edged up 1.1% to $444

·      Listing inventory fell 24.4% to 925 units

·      Average square footage slipped 3.3% to 4,037

Fort Lauderdale

Overview:

·      Condo price trend indicators pressed higher as sales slipped year over year

·      Single-family sales and price trend indicators posted large annual gains

·      Luxury condo price trend indicators showed mixed year over year results

·      Luxury single-family price trend indicators surged, skewed by large increase in average sales size

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Luxury Condo:

·      Median sales price slipped 1.3% to $1,210,000

·      Average price per square foot edged up 1.3% to $558

·      Listing inventory decreased by 2.6% to 339 units

·      Average square footage declined 3.6% to 2,604

Luxury Single Family:

·      Median sales price jumped 44% to $3,225,000

·      Average price per square foot rose 47.7% to $783

·      Listing inventory fell 25.3% to 296 units

·      Average square footage rose 17% to 5,778

Boca Raton/Highland Beach 

Overall:

·      Condo listing inventory fell year over year for sixth straight quarters with the most significant decline in the current quarter

·      Single-family listing inventory declined annually over the past four quarters at a rising rate

·      Luxury condo and luxury single-family inventory fell short of year-ago levels

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Luxury Condo: 

·      Median sales price slipped 0.3% to $900,000 

·      Average price per square foot decreased by 0.2% to $465

·      Listing inventory fell 15.6% to 260 units

·      Average square footage declined by 4.8% to 2,666

Luxury Single Family

·      Median sales price fell 10.3% to $1,895,000

·      Average price per square foot rose 1.2% to $407

·      Listing inventory fell 16.9% to 339 units

·      Average square footage declined 0.4% to 7,267

Delray Beach

Overview:

·      Single-family median sales price hasn’t shown a year over year decline in four quarters 

·      Condo listings fell annually for four straight quarters 

·      Luxury single-family price trend indicators showed mixed results

·      Luxury condo price trend indicators showed substantial annual gains, partially aided by the increase in sales size 

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Luxury Condo:

·      Median sales price jumped 40.3% to $754,000

·      Average price per square foot rose 48.9% to $530

·      Listing inventory fell 36.3% to 163 units

·      Average square footage increased by 2.4% to 1,827

Luxury Single Family:

·      Median sales price fell 19.6% to $1,400,000

·      Average price per square foot rose 5.5% to $439

·      Listing inventory declined 7.1% to 91 units

·      Average square footage declined 1.8% to 4,781

Wellington 

Overview:

·      Condo price trend indicators and sales rose as listing inventory declined from the prior year

·      Single-family sales and price trend indicators moved higher year over year as listing inventory dropped sharply

·      Luxury price trend indicators for both property types showed mixed results

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Luxury Condo:

·      Median sales price rose 22% to $730,000

·      Average price per square foot decreased by 3.3% to $348

·      Listing inventory increased by 9.1% to 36 units

·      Average square footage declined 10.9% to 2,038

Luxury Single Family: 

·      Median sales price fell 45.5% to $1,500,000

·      Average price per square foot rose 18.1% to $654

·      Listing inventory declined 12.3% to 207 units

·      Average square footage declined 21.9% to 4,465

Palm Beach

Overview: 

·      Listing inventory for condos, single-family properties and luxury fell sharply from year-ago levels

·      All three condo price trend indicators rose year over year for the third straight quarter

·      The most significant year over year increase in single-family sales in six years

·      All three price trend indicators for the luxury market were skewed higher year over year by the surge in average sales size

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Luxury Condo and Single Family: 

·      Median sales price surged 48.1% to $10,517,500

·      Average price per square foot rose 12.2% to $1,841

·      Listing inventory dropped 49.6% to 64 units

·      Average square footage surged 49.4% to 7,344

Jupiter/Palm Beach Gardens

Jupiter Overview:

·      Single-family sales price trend indicators and sales showed substantial annual gains

·      Condo sales declined as price trend indicators press higher from year-ago levels

Palm Beach Gardens Overview:

·      Single-family sales price trend indicators were mixed as sales jumped year over year

·      Condo sales and price trend indicators showed robust annual increases

Key Trend Metrics (Year to Year)

Jupiter Luxury Condo:

·      Median sales price slipped 5.4% to $915,000

·      Average price per square foot rose 2.7% to $452

·      Listing inventory rose 17.4% to 54 units

·      Average square footage edged up 0.3% to 2,378

Jupiter Luxury Single Family:

·      Median sales price rose 8.5% to $2,600,000

·      Average price per square foot increased by 9.2% to $666

·      Listing inventory rose 7.4% to 131 units

·      Average square footage increased by 17.1% to 5,699 

Palm Beach Gardens Luxury Condo:

·      Median sales price surged 39.5% to $600,000

·      Average price per square foot rose 46.5% to $315

·      Listing inventory fell 44.2% to 43 units

·      Average square footage increased by 18.6% to 2,588

Palm Beach Gardens Luxury Single Family:

·      Median sales price fell 22.6% to $1,937,500

·      Average price per square foot decreased by 1.5% to $461

·      Listing inventory declined 12.1% to 131 units

·      Average square footage declined 18.5% to 4,837

Article by Isabella Zimmermann

Douglas Elliman Releases Q1 2019 Market Reports For South Florida

Douglas Elliman released their Q1 2019 Market Reports in South Florida.The South Florida Market reports showed price trends generally edging higher, although sales slipped and inventory slightly increased this quarter. The markets included Miami Beach and Barrier Islands,Fort Lauderdale , Boca Raton, Highland Beach, Delray Beach, Wellington, Palm Beach, Jupiter, and Palm Beach Gardens.

Miami Beach/Barrier Islands

Overview:

• Overall price trend indicators increased than year ago levels

• Marketing time jumped as older inventory was sold

• Condo median sales price remained unchanged

• All single family price trend indicators increased as sales decreased

• Luxury condo inventory slipped

• Luxury single family price trend indicators surged

Key Trend Metrics(Year to Year):

Overall:

• Median sales price rose 2.3% to $440,000

• Average sales price increased 11.6% to $1,129,317

• Number of sales slipped 2% to 772

• Days on market was 145, up from 80

• Listing discount was 10.6%, up from 10.4%

• Listing inventory slipped 0.3% to 6,726

Luxury Condo:

• Median sales price rose 12.7% to $3,225,000

• Average price per square foot decreased 11% to $1,299

• Days on market was 70, down from 72

• Listing discount was 12.7%, up from 11.5%

• Listing inventory declined 6.6% to 1,006 units

• Entry threshold began at $1,864,000, up from 1,750,000

Luxury Single Family:

• Median sales price surged 61% to $10,100,000

• Average price per square foot rose 2.6% to $1,524

• Days on market was 352 up from 141

• Listing discount was 12.1%, down from 17.9%

• Listing inventory fell 38.5% to 152 units

• Entry threshold began at $7,250,000, up 70.6%

Miami Coastal Mainland

Overview:

• Median sales price rose year over year for the eighteenth consecutive quarter

• Sales declined annually for the first time in three quarters

• Listing inventory trended higher for the fourth straight quarter

• Luxury condo listing inventory declined annually for the fourth consecutive quarter

• Luxury condo price trend indicators were mixed year over year as marketing time expanded

• Luxury single family price trend indicators slipped as marketing time expanded

Key Trend Metrics(Year to Year):

Overall:

• Median sales price increased 0.6% to $320,000

• Average sales price slipped 2.2% to $425,740

• Number of sales declined 7.5% to 3,104

• Days on market was 91 up from 51

• Listing discount was 5.7%, down from 5.9%

• Listing inventory rose 6.9% to 12,247 units

Luxury Condo:

• Median sales price slipped 6.9% to $780,000

• Average price per square foot rose 4.9% to $468

• Days on market was 160 days, down from 167

• Listing discount was 7.2%, down from 7.4%

• Listing inventory declined 0.3% to 2,759

• Entry threshold began at $580,000, up 9.4%

Luxury Single Family:

• Median sales price slipped 0.5% to $1,407,500

• Average price per square foot slipped 0.9% to $439

• Days on market was 133 days up from 76

• Listing discount was 8.9%, up from 8.8%

• Listing inventory rose 14.7% to 1,223 units

• Entry threshold began at $880,000, down 4.6%

Fort Lauderdale

Overview:

• Condo price trend indicators slid year over year with decline in average sales size

• Condo sales declined annually for the first time in five quarters

• Single-family price trend indicators were mixed as inventory expanded annually for the fifth straight quarter

• Luxury condo pending sales signed in the quarter surged

• Single family luxury median and average sales price moved higher as marketing time stabilized

Key Trend Metrics(Year to Year):

Luxury Condo:

• Median sales price decreased 6.2% to $1,226,000

• Average price per square foot rose 0.5% to $619

• Days on market was 52, down 8.8%

• Listing discount was 7.6%, up from 6.7%

• Listing inventory rose 20.4% to 348 units

• Entry threshold began at $875,000 down 7.9%

Luxury Single Family:

• Median sales price rose 8% to $2,240,000

• Average price per square foot slipped 2.6% to $530

• Days on market was 163, unchanged

• Listing discount was 14.9%, up from 8.1%

• Listing inventory rose 19.6% to 396 units

• Entry threshold began at $1,365,000, down 6.5%

Boca Raton/Highland Beach

Overview:

• Condo & single family price trend indicators rose year over as sales slipped for the first time in three quarters

• Condo & single family price trend indicators saw larger growth at the higher end of the market

• Condo listing inventory fell annually for the second straight quarter

• Luxury condo price trends surged year over year partially due to jump in average sales size

Key Trend Metrics(Year to Year):

Luxury Condo:

• Median sales price jumped 48.3% to $1,175,000

• Average price per square foot rose 39.2% to $522

• Days on market was 146 days, up from 116

• Listing discount was 8.2%, up from 7.3%

• Listing inventory declined 21.4% to 313

• Entry threshold began at $665,000, up 26.7%

Luxury Single Family:

• Median sales price declined 14.9% to $1,830,000

• Average price per square foot rose 9.1% to $455

• Days on market was 136 days, up from 134

• Listing discount was 9.4%, down from 9.4%

Delray Beach

Overview:

• Single family sales slipped for the first time in six quarters as listing inventory expanded for four quarters

• Condo price trend indicators haven’t declined in thirteen straight quarters

• Luxury single family price trend indicators skewed lower by decline in average sales size

Key Trend Metrics(Year to Year)

Luxury Condo:

• Median sales price declined 26.8% to $510,000

• Days on market was 111, up from 88

• Listing discount was 5.4%, down from 6.6%

• Entry threshold began at $385,000, unchanged

Luxury Single Family:

• Median sales price declined 1.4% to $2,045,250

• Days on market was 143, up from 126

• Listing discount was 9.7%, up from 8.7%

• Entry threshold began at $1,298,000, down 1.6%

Wellington

Overview:

• Condo median sales price increased annually for the tenth straight quarter

• Condo inventory expanded year over year for the fourth consecutive quarter

• Single-family price trend indicators all rose year over year for the fourth consecutive quarter

• Single-family sales declined annually for the fourth time in the past five quarters

• Luxury condo and single-family price trend indicators surged due to significant shift to larger average sales size

Key Trend Metrics(Year to Year)

Luxury Condo:

• Median sales price surged 58.5% to $598,500

• Average square footage jumped 14.6% to 2,288

• Days on market was 154, down from 157

• Listing discount was 1.8%, down from 3.7%

• Listing inventory fell 46.8% to 33

• Entry threshold began at $415,000, up 22.1%

Luxury Single Family:

• Median sales price jumped 79.9% to $2,752,500

• Average square footage surged 42.7% to 5,717

• Days on market was 184, down from 262

• Listing discount was 14.2%, up from 9.5%

• Listing inventory declined 6.3% to 236

• Entry threshold began at $885,000 down 1.1%

Palm Beach

Overview:

• Condos sales rose annually for the fifth consecutive quarter to the second highest market share recorded

• Most first quarter condo sales in four years while inventory increase annual for the fourth time in five quarters

• Single family price trends showed mixed results as sales fell to their lowest first quarter total in seven years

• Luxury average sales size fell sharply as the luxury price threshold fell annually for the fourth straight quarter

Key Trend Metrics(Year to Year)

Luxury Condo and Single Family:

• Median sales price declined 29.2% to $7,100,000

• Average sales size dropped 25.1% to 4,915 square feet

• Average price per square foot fell 21.1% to $1,641

• Days on market was 106, down from 122

• Listing discount was 8.1%, down from 14.6%

• Listing inventory jumped 27% to 127

• Entry threshold began at $5,100,000, down 6%

Jupiter/Palm Beach Gardens

Jupiter Overview:

• Single-family median sales price moved higher for the second straight month

• Condo sales rose year over year for the third consecutive quarter

Palm Beach Gardens Overview:

• Single-family sales slipped for the third time in four quarters as all price indicators rose

• Condo median price slipped year over year for the first time in 27 quarters

Key Trend Metrics(Year to Year)

Jupiter Luxury Condo:

• Median sales price rose 7% to $305,000

• Days on market was 65, up from 46

• Listing discount was 5.3%, up from 5.1%

• Listing inventory rose 3.1% to 328

Jupiter Single Family:

• Median sales price increase 6% to $530,000

• Days on market was 71, down from 77

• Listing discount was 5.4%, up from 6.5%

• Listing inventory rose 11.1% to 481

Palm Beach Gardens Luxury Condo:

• Median sales price slipped 2.1% to $235,000

• Days on market was 71, up from 49

• Listing discount was 4.1%, down from 4.5%

Listing inventory jumped 16.9% to 277

• Palm Beach Gardens Single Family:

• Median sales price increased 8.2% to $499,500

• Days on market was 89, up from 83

• Listing discount was 6.9%, down from 7.9%

• Listing inventory rose 3% to 556

Article by Stephanie Warren

Douglas Elliman Releases Q4 Market Reports For South Florida

Douglas Elliman has released their Q4 Market Reports for South Florida, produced in conjunction with Miller Samuel a leading independent appraisal firm. The South Florida Market continued to show power in prices, continuing to increase in both the luxury and overall markets across nearly all markets including Miami Beach and Barrier Islands, Fort Lauderdale, Boca Raton, DelRay Beach, Wellington, Palm Beach, Jupiter and Palm Beach Gardens.

MIAMI BEACH/BARRIER ISLANDS

Key Trend Metrics(Year Over Year)

Overview:

• Single family sales surged as condo sales declined after a large burst of activity on the prior quarter

• Condo price trend indicators declined from year ago levels, consistent with drop in average sales size

• Luxury condo price trend indicators declined at same rate as average sales size

• Luxury single-family sales size rose sharply driving price trend indicators higher

• Luxury condo inventory increased as luxury single family inventory declined

• Marketing time expanded as older listings were absorbed as negotiability expanded

Key Trend Metrics(Year Over Year)

Overall

• Median sales price slipped 6.7% to $378,750

• Average sales price increased 0.3% to $888,424

• Number of sales slipped 10.4% to 678

• Days on market was 146, up from 73

• Listing discount was 10.9%, up from 810%

• Listing inventory increased 3.8% to 6,668

Luxury Condo

• Median sales price declined to $2,200,000

• Average price per square foot decreased 13.5% to $1,047

• Days on market was 222, up from 92

• Listing discount was 12.6%, up from 11.3%

• Listing inventory rose 20.5% to 1,459 units

• Entry threshold began at $1,305,000

Luxury Single Family

• Median sales price surged 33.3% to $8,000,000

• Average price per square foot jumped 40.3% to $1,494

• Days on market was 349, up from 170

• Listing discount was 16.7%, up from 16.4%

• Listing inventory fell 6.2% to 183 units

• Entry threshold began at $5,900,000, up from 15.7%

MIAMI COASTAL MAINLAND

Overview:

• Overall price trend indicators and the number of sales continued to rise year over year

• Overall sales and all price trend indicators were above the level seen in 2017

• Listing inventory trended higher for the fourth consecutive month

• Market share of purchases with conventional financing was the highest in the five years

• Nearly all luxury condo and single-family price trend indicators continued to rise greater year over year

• Luxury condo inventory declined as luxury single family inventory expanded

Key Trend Metrics(Year Over Year)

Overall:

• Median sales price increased 5.9% to $320,000

• Average sales price rose 7.2% to $445,007

• Number of sales rose 10.6% to 3,518

• Days on market was 81 up from 44

• Listing discount was 5.6%, down from 5.7%

• Listing inventory rose 20.9% to 12,071 units

Luxury Condo

• Median sales price slipped 3.8% to $812,500

• Average price per square foot rose 4% to $470

• Days on market was 178 days, up from 155

• Listing discount was 7.8%, down from 8.1%

• Listing inventory declined 18.9% to 2,505

• Entry threshold began at $610,000, up 27.1%

Luxury Single Family

• Median sales price rose 6.7% to $1,387,500

• Average price per square foot jumped 16.8% to $479

• Days on market was 130 days up from 67

• Listing discount was 8.5%, up from 8.4%

• Listing inventory rose 12.6% to 1,111 units

• Entry threshold began at $890,000, up 3.5%

Fort Lauderdale

Overview:

• Condo sales rose above for the fourth consecutive quarter

• Condo listing inventory rose for the first time in six quarters

• Single family price trend indicators were mixed as condos moved higher

• Condo luxury price trend indicators surged

• Single family luxury price trend indicators showed mixed results as average sales size declined

Key Trend Metrics(Year Over Year)

Overall:

Luxury Condo

• Median sales price increased 25.8% to $1,550,000

• Average price per square foot rose 21.1% to $619

• Days on market was 131, down 34.5%

• Listing discount was 5.6%, down from 7.7%

• Listing inventory fell 28.7% to 256 units

• Entry threshold began at $1,095,000 up 41.3%

Luxury Single Family

• Median sales price rose 7.4% to $2,125,000

• Average price per square foot slipped 4% to $572

• Days on market was 176, down from 190

• Listing discount was 9.5%, down from 16.4%

• Listing inventory declined 7.4% to 338 units

• Entry threshold began at $1,500,000, up 22%

BOCA RATON

Overview:

• Condo median sales price hasn’t seen a year over year decline in ten quarters

• Sales for condos and single-families have increased year over year for two consecutive quarters

• Luxury condo and luxury single family price trends moved higher, consistent with rise in sales size

Key Trend Metrics(Year Over Year)

Overall:

Luxury Condo

• Median sales price rose 9.4% to $902,500

• Average price per square foot rose 32.8% to $466

• Days on market was 108 days, up from 101

• Listing discount was 6.7%, down from 8.9%

• Listing inventory declined 13.7% to 308

• Entry threshold began at $590,000, up 9.6%

Luxury Single Family

• Median sales price rose 5.6% to $2,112,500

• Average price per square foot rose 5.8% to $402

• Days on market was 187 days, down from 217

• Listing discount was 9.7%, down from 12.5%

• Listing inventory edged up 1.7% to 408

• Entry threshold began at $1,286,200 up 0.7%

DELRAY BEACH

Overview:

• Single-family sales and median sales price have been rising year over year for four consecutive quarters

• Condo median sales price showed twelve consecutive quarters without a year over year decline

• Luxury single family price per square foot moved higher as the other indicators were pulled down sharply by drop in sales size

Key Trend Metrics (Year Over Year)

Luxury Condo

• Median sales price rose 14.5% to $537,500

• Days on market was 102, up from 66

• Listing discount was 6.9%, up from 4.9%

• Entry threshold began at $325,000, down 1.5%

Luxury Single Family

• Median sales price declined 10.9% to $1,741,250

• Days on market was 156, up from 104

• Listing discount was 5.9%, down from 10.4%

• Entry threshold began at $1,150,000, down 3.4%

WELLINGTON

Overview:

• Condo median sales price year over year for the tenth consecutive quarter

• Condo sales rose annual for three of the last four quarters

• All single-family price trend indicators increased year over year for the third consecutive quarter

• Luxury condo price trend indicators pulled lower by sharp decline in average sales size while the opposite occurred for luxury single-family price trends

Key Trend Metrics(Year Over Year)

Luxury Condo

• Median sales price slipped 1.8% to $665,000

• Average square footage declined 18.3% to 1,878

• Days on market was 77, down from 148

• Listing discount was 4.5%, down from 8.2%

• Listing inventory jumped 52.2% to 35

• Entry threshold began at $435,000, down 17.9%

Luxury Single Family

• Median sales price jumped 88.2% to $2,000,000

• Average square footage rose 1.7% to 4,662

• Days on market was 195, up from 115

• Listing discount was 8.9%, up from 7.7%

• Listing inventory declined 33.6% to 186

• Entry threshold began at $1,010,000 up 47.4%

Palm Beach

Overview:

• Condos continued to dominate with the highest sales share

• Single family and luxury price trend indicators skewed significantly lower by the sharp decline in average sales size

• Majority fourth quarter market wide sales in 5 years

• Luxury inventory returned to more modest levels after limited availability over the past two years

Key Trend Metrics (Year Over Year)

Luxury Family And Single Condo

• Median sales price declined 57.8% to $6,426,750

• Average price per square foot fell 22.5% to $1,443

• Average sales size dropped 52.1% to 4,515 square feet

• Days on market was 100, down from 496

• Listing discount was 9.1%, down from 18.3%

• Listing inventory jumped 104.1% to 100

• Entry threshold began at $4,250,000, down 59.9%

JUPITER / PALM BEACH GARDENS

Jupiter Overview:

• Single family price trend indicators and sales moved higher

• Condo sales and price trend indicators all rose for the third consecutive quarter

Palm Beach Gardens Overview:

• Single-family price trend indicators showed double-digit gains as sales decreased

• Condo sales slipped again as price trend indicators continued to rise

Key Trend Metrics (Year Over Year)

Jupiter Single Family                                                                              

• Median sales price jumped 15.4% to $525,000

• Days on market was 70, up from 62

• Listing discount was 5.8%, up from 5.6%

• Listing inventory declined 5.7% to 413

Jupiter Condo

• Median sales price rose 11.3% to $310,000

• Days on market was 60, up from 59

• Listing discount was 4.1%, down from 5.2%

• Listing inventory rose 5.2% to 304

Palm Beach Gardens Single Family

• Median sales price increased 10.6% to $470,000

• Days on market was 82, unchanged

• Listing discount was 7.8%, up from 6.6%

• Listing inventory rose 5.2% to 527

Palm Beach Gardens Condo

• Median sales price rose 2.1% to $240,000

• Days on market was 52, up from 48

• Listing discount was 3.9%, down from 4.6%

• Listing inventory jumped 41.7% to 299

Article by Stephanie Warren

AirBNB Reports $204 Million Of Host Income In Miami-Dade In 2018, Up 52% Year-Over-Year

AirBNB has reported that hosts in Miami-Dade took in a whopping $204 million in 2018, up 52% from the $134.6 million in 2017. The county led all of Florida, followed by Osceola County and Broward County at $82.6 million and $80.3 million respectively. AirBNB hosts in Florida took in $810 million in 2018, which was an 80% increase from 2017 when host income was $450 million and almost three times the $273 million first reported in 2016. Of the $810 million, over $315 million, 38%, was reported by the counties that make up South Florida with over 1.47 million guests as Palm Beach County also brought in $30.6 million. AirBNB also reported that over 45,000 Florida hosts share their homes on the platform with an average of $6,500 in annual supplemental income.

AirBNB recently sued the City of Miami Beach over the newly instituted ordinance regulating short-term rentals which requires short-term rental platforms, such as AirBNB, to regulate the posted listings and only offer properties that have provided proof of registration with the city. AirBNB recently took down all illegal Miami Beach listings from the site. AirBNB is also planning an IPO in late 2020 and has been valued at over $31 billion.

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